Despite repeated Iranian missile and drone strikes hitting targets inside the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, the Gulf Cooperation Council states have deliberately chosen not to launch direct retaliatory operations against Iranian soil. This approach aims to avoid further escalation that could engulf the entire region.

Analysts explain this restraint stems from deep dependence on U.S. security guarantees and the very real risk that any offensive action would invite devastating counter-attacks on their sprawling oil and gas infrastructure. Investments in cyber defenses are also being prioritized to counter non-kinetic threats.

Gulf rulers are also calculating that once Washington finishes degrading Iran’s capabilities, American forces might scale back their presence, leaving the monarchies vulnerable; hence they continue relying on sophisticated air defenses and quiet diplomacy. These diplomatic efforts include outreach to Russia and China for potential mediation.

This strategic patience is increasingly tested by domestic public opinion demanding stronger action, yet leaders appear determined to prioritize long-term stability over short-term revenge. Economic forecasts suggest that prolonged war could lead to GDP losses in the billions for these nations.