In February 2026, the political situation in Iran has become increasingly chaotic as the Islamic Republic faces a bitter internal conflict that threatens to tear its government apart. Despite being engaged in high-stakes negotiations with the United States, a civil war is erupting within Iran’s ranks, with military commanders undermining diplomatic efforts and civilian leaders facing fierce opposition. Tensions have escalated so much that the fate of critical negotiations with the West, particularly over Iran’s nuclear deal, has become uncertain. Let’s dive into the internal struggles and what these developments could mean for Iran’s future.

At the heart of this political struggle is the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), a powerful military force that has grown in influence over the years, especially since the beginning of the civil war in the Middle East. The IRGC’s commanders are engaged in a desperate push to sabotage the Iranian diplomats set to negotiate with the United States in Islamabad. What was supposed to be a major diplomatic breakthrough is now overshadowed by internal power struggles that could alter the course of negotiations.

The IRGC’s Commander-in-Chief, Ahmad Vahidi, has been at the forefront of these disruptions. Vahidi has actively sought to undermine the authority of Iran’s Speaker of the House and Foreign Minister, Aragi, who are both integral to the negotiations with the United States. The conflict came to a head when Vahidi demanded the inclusion of a new member, Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, in the negotiating team, but his request has been met with stiff resistance. The existing members of the team, who are critical to the talks, have voiced their concerns, citing the new addition’s lack of experience in strategic negotiations.

Meanwhile, the IRGC has made it clear that it will not negotiate on issues related to Iran’s missile program, an important area of contention in any potential agreement with the West. This hardline stance has created a significant divide within Iran’s leadership, especially as foreign ministers and other civilian leaders are eager to come to a diplomatic resolution to alleviate international pressure and secure relief from crippling sanctions. The timing of this internal power struggle, with the fate of diplomatic talks hanging in the balance, could have far-reaching consequences for both Iran and the world.